Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.677752 1.934197 2.216269 2.549504 2.932422 3.358680 3.869267
2025-05-04 1.357312 1.702505 2.114545 2.642483 3.301033 4.095659 5.127918
2025-05-11 1.114504 1.503626 2.002056 2.687010 3.604025 4.789964 6.441863
2025-05-18 0.899914 1.295122 1.833983 2.621857 3.744707 5.288523 7.575496
2025-05-25 0.723177 1.102853 1.650343 2.496561 3.771960 5.624162 8.523232
2025-06-01 0.619164 0.995113 1.565406 2.492311 3.961797 6.203989 9.892300
2025-06-08 0.526981 0.888802 1.463804 2.442496 4.067755 6.662517 11.129625
2025-06-15 0.489067 0.862279 1.481301 2.580575 4.485534 7.655899 13.346817
2025-06-22 0.442847 0.813902 1.454470 2.638049 4.772425 8.465177 15.357497
2025-06-29 0.392281 0.749780 1.390675 2.619993 4.921593 9.051834 17.049028
2025-07-06 0.335141 0.664911 1.277698 2.495676 4.858819 9.249245 18.051902
2025-07-13 0.314018 0.645236 1.281816 2.590086 5.214810 10.252570 20.688956
2025-07-20 0.297731 0.634019 1.302917 2.725192 5.677486 11.534677 24.078946
2025-07-27 0.275675 0.607850 1.291039 2.792656 6.014703 12.616255 27.219545
2025-08-03 0.252463 0.575781 1.262655 2.821639 6.275888 13.577179 30.241853
2025-08-10 0.223079 0.525760 1.189385 2.743390 6.295730 14.035119 32.245011
2025-08-17 0.193252 0.470189 1.096184 2.607066 6.166659 14.152152 33.501491
2025-08-24 0.176334 0.442329 1.061446 2.599681 6.330074 14.936632 36.386176
2025-08-31 0.158395 0.409328 1.010273 2.546113 6.377046 15.459885 38.724747
2025-09-07 0.154050 0.409558 1.038309 2.689042 6.918475 17.209864 44.266421
2025-09-14 0.145228 0.396995 1.033262 2.748361 7.259673 18.519537 48.887295
2025-09-21 0.133222 0.374264 0.999552 2.729247 7.397707 19.343801 52.378355
2025-09-28 0.117337 0.338653 0.927779 2.599619 7.228133 19.366729 53.771983